How likely is it that someone with Factor V Leiden will develop a blood clot?

Many individuals with Factor V Leiden never develop a blood clot. Population studies suggest that approximately 10% of Factor V Leiden heterozygotes will develop a VTE over their lifetime. Factor V Leiden homozygotes are more likely to develop a blood clot (some studies say as high as a 40% chance) over their lifetime and at a younger age, sometimes starting in their thirties.
Most blood clots or thrombosis associated with Factor V Leiden develop as a deep vein thrombosis (DVT) in the legs, but upper extremity thrombosis also occurs.
Thrombosis in unusual locations including cerebral, retinal, hepatic, ovarian, and renal veins may also occur but are less common. The risk of a cerebral vein thrombosis is increased 3- to 5-fold in Factor V Leiden heterozygotes.
The chances of a person with the Factor V Leiden gene mutation developing a blood clot are affected by many different variables and coexisting and circumstantial risk factors:
- Family history of thrombosis
- Blood type
- Age
- Obesity and Body Mass Index (BMI)
- Minor Injury
- Cancer and cancer treatments
- Extended travel
- Surgery / Immobility
- Central venous catheter
- Pregnancy
- Use of birth control
- Use of hormone replacement therapy
- Presence of other types of thrombophilia combined with Factor V Leiden
- Smoking / lifestyle choices
Heterozygous for Factor V Leiden – Studies vary but most agree that there is a 3- to 8-fold increased risk of developing a blood clot sometime during your lifetime compared to the unaffected population. In heterozygous patients, the clot is usually related to a trigger event, such as pregnancy, injury, or surgery. Population studies suggest that approximately 10% of Factor V Leiden heterozygotes develop VTE over their lifetime. The lifetime risk of VTE is higher (25–40%) in heterozygotes in families with a history of VTE. Heterozygosity for Factor V Leiden is not associated with an increase in mortality or reduction in normal life expectancy.
Homozygous for Factor V Leiden – Factor V Leiden homozygotes have an 80-fold increased risk of developing a blood clot during their lifetime compared to the unaffected population. Factor V Leiden homozygotes are also more likely to develop their first VTE at a younger age. In a family study, 40% of homozygotes had a VTE by the age of 33 years, compared with 20% of heterozygotes and 8% of unaffected individuals.
Family history of VTE in a first degree relative – A study found that individuals with a Factor V Leiden mutation who had a first-degree relative with a history of thrombosis had a 3-fold higher risk for VTE than Factor V Leiden carriers with a negative family history. The risk was increased 18-fold in those with two or more symptomatic relatives.
Circumstantial Risk Factors
Other predisposing factors for VTE include central venous catheter use, pregnancy, estrogen contraception, hormone replacement therapy (HRT), travel, injury, age, obesity, and surgery.
Factor V Leiden interacts with these environmental risk factors to increase the risk of VTE.
At least 50% of thrombotic episodes in individuals with Factor V Leiden are provoked by additional predisposing factors.
In a large cohort of symptomatic Factor V Leiden homozygotes, the initial VTE was associated with circumstantial risk factors in 81% of women and 29% of men. Oral contraceptives and pregnancy were the most common predisposing factors in symptomatic women. Thirteen percent of major surgeries were complicated by VTE suggesting an approximately 20-fold increase in risk.
Thus, the risk is compounded/increased by the presence of the following:
Blood Type – Having the blood types A, B, or AB increases your risk of developing a blood clot by 2- to 4-fold compared to those with type O blood.
Obesity / Body Mass Index (BMI) – Being overweight further increases your VTE chances by 2.5- to 8-fold depending on your BMI.
Minor Injury – A large population-based study found that minor leg injuries are associated with a 5-fold increased risk for VTE. Factor V Leiden carriers with a minor leg injury had a 50-fold higher thrombotic risk than individuals without these risk factors.
Extended Travel – Traveling for more than four hours in a car or airplane without walking or movement increases your chances by 14- to 16-fold.
Surgery / Immobility – Surgery, especially surgeries such as hip or knee replacement that leave the patient immobile for long periods of time, increase the risk for blood clots. Factor V Leiden carriers who are heterozygous are believed to be 5 to 13 times more likely to develop a blood clot and homozygous carriers are 20 times more likely during or right after a surgery.
Cancer and cancer treatments – Individuals with cancer and who were heterozygous for Factor V Leiden had a 20-fold higher risk of developing an upper extremity thrombosis than patients with cancer without Factor V Leiden.
Central Venous Catheter – Factor V Leiden heterozygotes have a 2- to 3-fold increased risk for central venous catheter-related thrombosis. The mutation increases the risk for catheter-related thrombosis in patients with advanced or metastatic breast cancer and those undergoing allogeneic bone marrow transplantation.
Age – The risk and incidence of VTE increases with age. The risk increases at a greater rate with advancing age in individuals with a Factor V Leiden mutation, suggesting that thrombosis involves acquired and genetic predisposing factors. In the Physicians’ Health Study, the mutation was found in approximately one third of men older than 60 years with an initial spontaneous thrombotic event.
In a population-based cohort study, the risk for VTE was significantly increased only among Factor V Leiden heterozygotes older than 60 years (relative risk 3.6). Another prospective study found that the absolute risk for VTE in unselected individuals with Factor V Leiden increased with age, body mass index (BMI), and smoking. The 10-year risk for VTE among heterozygotes was 10% in smokers older than 60 years with a BMI >30 kg/m2, in contrast to a <1% risk in nonsmokers younger than 40 years who were not overweight. The corresponding absolute 10-year thrombotic risks for Factor V Leiden homozygotes with and without these risk factors were 51% and 3%, respectively.
Children with Factor V Leiden – Most children with Factor V Leiden will never get a blood clot in their childhood or young adult life. The chances of developing a blood clot in a child who is healthy and does not have Factor V Leiden is one out of 50,000-100,000 children. For children with one affected gene, the chance of getting a blood clot increases 10 times. This means that for children with Factor V Leiden, one out of 5,000-10,000 will get a blood clot. In the rare case that both genes are affected, their chance of getting a blood clot is 100 times higher than someone without Factor V Leiden. This means that one out of 500-1,000 children with two affected genes will get a blood clot.
A child’s risk of getting a clot increases when they have a serious medical condition, a central line, an undiagnosed autoimmune disease or are on birth control (also known as oral contraceptives and hormones).
A teenage girl who is on birth control containing estrogen, however, has about a 3- to 4-fold risk of getting a blood clot. If she also has Factor V Leiden, then the risk for getting a blood clot is 30-40 times higher than an otherwise healthy teenager.
Birth Control containing Estrogen – Estrogen is used as a birth control and hormone replacement option. Estrogen alone does not cause blood clots but increases the risks of developing a blood clot.
Healthy women taking birth control containing estrogen do increase their risk of developing a venous blood clot by 3- to 4-fold compared with women who do not take birth control containing estrogen.
Women with heterozygous Factor V Leiden who take birth control containing estrogen have about a 35-fold increased risk of developing a venous blood clot compared with women without Factor V Leiden and those who do not take birth control.
Women with homozygous Factor V Leiden who take birth control containing estrogen have about a 80- to 100-fold increased risk of developing a venous blood clot compared with women without Factor V Leiden and those who do not take birth control.
The use of birth control containing estrogen has also been found to increase the risk for a cerebral venous sinus thrombosis (CVST), a venous blood clot that forms in the brain, by 20-fold for women who have the Factor V Leiden mutation.
Hormone replacement therapy (HRT) including estrogen and estrogen-like drugs taken after menopause – Postmenopausal women taking HRT have a 2- to 4-fold higher risk of developing a venous blood clot than women who do not take HRT. Women with Factor V Leiden who take HRT have a 15-fold higher risk.
Pregnancy / Childbirth – Many women with this mutation go through one or multiple pregnancies with no difficulties. Healthy women who become pregnant have a 4-fold increased risk of developing a blood clot during their pregnancy.
Women who have heterozygous Factor V Leiden have an 8- to 52-fold increase depending on coexisting risk factors such as obesity or advanced age. Homozygous carriers have much higher risks with some studies claiming as high as 100-fold.
The greatest risks during pregnancy occur during the first few weeks after childbirth when it can increase by as much as 20-fold. The greatest risk is the week following the birth when the risk can be as high as 100-fold.
Factor V Leiden is present in about 40% of pregnant women who present with a venous thrombosis.
Studies have suggested that a woman who is pregnant with Factor V Leiden may also have a small increased risk of preeclampsia, delivering a low birth weight baby, and an increased risk of miscarriage and stillbirth due to clotting in the placenta or the umbilical cord. These studies are not conclusive and more research is needed.
Presence of other types of thrombophilia combined with Factor V Leiden – There is an increased prevalence of Factor V Leiden among symptomatic patients with deficiencies of Protein C, Protein S, and antithrombin and the prothrombin 202010G>A mutation. Individuals with two defects have a higher risk for thrombosis than family members with a single defect. In a pooled analysis of eight case-control studies, individuals with a single Factor V Leiden or prothrombin 20210G>A allele had a 5-fold and 4-fold increase in thrombotic risk, respectively. In contrast, individuals doubly heterozygous for both mutations had a 20-fold increase in relative risk, illustrating the multiplicative effect of these two mutations on overall thrombotic risk. A prothrombin 20210G>A allele was 4- to 5-fold more common in symptomatic Factor V Leiden homozygotes with VTE than in controls with no thrombotic history.
What can I do to help prevent blood clots?
- Keep your weight in a healthy range.
- Eat healthy.
- Build physical activity and exercise into your daily life.
- Take care when traveling long distances by stopping every few hours and taking a short walk.
- Avoid estrogen-containing birth control.
- Drink plenty of fluids.
- Do not smoke.

Visit their website at www.stoptheclot.org
References/Resources
Kujovich, J. Factor V Leiden thrombophilia. Genet Med 13, 1–16 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1097/GIM.0b013e3181faa0f2
“Factor V Leiden thrombophilia”, Genetics and Rare Diseases Center, https://rarediseases.info.nih.gov/diseases/6403/factor-v-leiden-thrombophilia#ref_526
“Genetic Clotting Disorders”, Children’s Hospital Los Angeles, https://www.chla.org/genetic-clotting-disorders
“What is Factor V Leiden?”, Spectracell Laboratories, https://www.spectracell.com/factor-v-overview-page
“Facts About Factor V Leiden Thrombophilia”, Nxgen MDx, https://nxgenmdx.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/FACTOR-V-LEIDEN-THROMBOPHILIA.pdf